The Championship returns with a gritty Yorkshire derby with our Barnsley vs Leeds United predictions pointing to more problems for the Tykes.
Leeds fell from their lofty perch last time out when Wayne Routledge grabbed a 90th-minute winner at Elland Road which sent Swansea City to the top of the table.
Barnsley, after a solid start, sit one place above the relegation spots with a long season ahead as they fight an immediate return to League One.
It’s a key match for both sides. Barnsley needs points wherever they can take them while Leeds need to restore some of the air of invincibility they built in the early weeks of the season.
Check out our Complete 2019/20 Championship Season Preview, Predictions And Betting Tips to find out where we think both sides will finish this campaign!
Barnsley vs Leeds United Predictions
The wheels came off Leeds United’s bus last weekend; at Oakwell, we’ll see how effective Marcelo Bielsa’s repair skills are.
A five-match unbeaten run (W4, D1) came to a juddering halt last time out as the Peacocks conceded for the first time in three matches. Concerns about Leeds durability are surfacing; Nottingham Forest left Elland Road with a point. Leeds don’t cope well with opponents scoring.
Bielsa has fewer concerns with the attack. Eddie Nketiah scored twice for England Under-21s and is pushing for a starting line-up place for Leeds. However, neither he or Patrick Bamford has scored in the league since 24th August; they need to find the net more regularly.
Equally, Barnsley must dig deep to get their own season back on track. The opening day win over Fulham seems a long time ago but the point against Charlton also offers hope. The Tykes can raise their game, they just need to do it more frequently.
Despite those peaks, it is hard to look at Barnsley vs Leeds United predictions without seeing an away win. The Championship is nothing, however, if not unpredictable.
Daniel Stendel’s problems stem partly from their distribution; 72% passing accuracy cedes possession frequently. However, with 23.30% crossing accuracy, Leeds defence can expect to work hard in this derby.
Their uncompromising style sees the commit an average of 16.5 fouls per game; a hard-working style brings rewards as well as limitations to the surface.
Curiously, their shooting accuracy isn’t dissimilar to Leeds; 38% against 40.30%. The main difference is shooting and conversion. Barnsley’s problems manifest in 19 shots on target with 8% conversion against Leeds’ 31 and 13%.
It’s six without a win for the strugglers (D2, L4) in all competitions. This run is likely to continue after the weekend.
Barnsley vs Leeds United Head to Head
This will be the 63rd meeting between the two sides with Leeds ahead 25 wins to 20 and 17 drawn.
Recent history favours the visitors with only one defeat in the last six (W4, D1). At Oakwell, things are less favourable. It’s two wins in the last seven for Leeds (L5).
One thing is for certain; expect goals. There have been three draws between the two sides and all were at Elland Road.
It’s by no means certain both sides will score. Three of the last four at Barnsley saw one side only scoring with the Tykes 3 – 2 win in January 2017 the odd-man-out.
Barnsley Team News
Ben Williams is suspended following his red card at Wigan last time out.
Goalkeeper Sami is out until December after suffering knee ligament damage against Luton, joining Kenny Dougall as a long-term absentee. Bambo Diaby, also injured in that match faces a race against time to be fit for the derby.
Cauley Woodrow is set to return after missing three matches through injury.
Leeds United Team News
Jordan Stevens, a squad midfielder, is banned for six matches while Luke Ayling remains sidelined for another month.
Tyler Roberts returned to training during the international break but this weekend is too soon to return to the starting line-up.
Barnsley vs Leeds United Betting Tips
Novibet’s match odds make Leeds United convincing favourites at 47/100 with Barnsley 6/1 and the draw at 69/20.
Recent meetings between the two sides at Oakwell see goals but Leeds tend to do so with clinical efficiency. Novibet markets show 11/10 for the home side to score no goals.
Both sides are no strangers to crossing referees; the Tykes receiving an average of 3 yellow cards per game, Leeds two. It suggests a tough match for the officials and worth looking at some of the niche markets.