While Liverpool were comfortable first-leg winners last week, the Manchester City versus Tottenham tie hangs more in the balance. Here’s where we see the value on Wednesday night.
Man City vs Tottenham
Tottenham outclassed Manchester City at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium just a week ago, even after Harry Kane had to leave the field with a reported season-ending ankle injury. True, Pep Guardiola’s side missed a penalty early on, but the Londoners looked far more up for it on the night. It’ll take a similar high energy performance from Mauricio Pochettino’s team if they are to qualify for the semi-finals.
Manchester City have only lost twice in 26 home games in all competitions and have won 6 of their last 8 home meetings with Spurs at the Etihad. If they are to progress after 90 minutes, they’ll have to win by two clear goals. A 1-0 win would take the game to extra-time and a one-goal win with Spurs scoring would see the Lilywhites go through on the away goal rule. Manchester City to win after 90 minutes with a -1 handicap is 37/50.
Given the nature of second-leg ties, there will come a time where one of the two sides will have to go hell for leather to turn the game in their favour. Manchester City versus Tottenham is a game which historically produces a lot of goals, with 23 netted in the previous eight meetings. Over 3.5 goals in this one is 107/100.
Guardiola cast doubt over Sergio Aguero’s fitness at Tuesday’s pre-match press conference, but he is still priced at 4/5 to score any time. A more worthwhile bet may be to back the in-form Raheem Sterling. Fresh from his brace at Selhurst Park on Sunday, the 24-year-old is one of the first names on the team sheet these days at Manchester City and his record against Spurs isn’t bad either; he’s scored three in his last four meetings. Raheem Sterling to score anytime is EVENS or you could back him to be the first goal scorer at 4/1.
However, it is not all doom and gloom for Pochettino’s men, they are leading the tie after all! Manchester City have conceded in four of their last five Champions League games and if they were to do so again on Wednesday night, they would have to score at least three goals to qualify. The home side are as long as 13/10 to keep a clean sheet, which should give the Tottenham fans plenty of belief going into the game.
Manchester City don’t have too many off nights though and we fancy them to bounce back from last week’s stale performance by knocking out Tottenham and reaching the Champions League semi-finals for just the second time in their history.
Man City vs Tottenham recommended bets
Porto vs Liverpool
Whilst the Manchester City vs. Tottenham game may be hard to call, this one should be a lot more straight forward. Liverpool eased to a 2-0 lead over Porto at Anfield last week thanks to goals from Naby Keita and Roberto Firmino and that has given the Portuguese side a mountain to climb if they are to progress to the semi-finals.
Not only are Liverpool unbeaten against Porto in seven European matches (W4, D3), Porto have never faced an opponent in the Champions League more often than Liverpool without winning (four games). Despite this, Liverpool are an attractive 21/20 to beat Sergio Conceicao’s side on the night. However, the decent price may be explained by Liverpool’s disappointing record on the road in Europe this season, losing three of their four games.
Combine Liverpool’s struggles away from Anfield in Europe with Porto’s impressive home form and you could make a good case for a nervy night for Klopp’s men. Porto have only suffered 2 home defeats all season and have won all four of their home Champions League matches by an aggregate scoreline of 11-3. However, three of those four winning scorelines would not be enough to see them qualify on Wednesday night. They need to win by three clear goals to progress after 90 minutes, with a 2-0 result taking the game to extra-time. Porto to win 2-0 in normal time is 16/1.
One man Liverpool will be wary of is Porto striker Moussa Marega. The Mail international has scored in each of their four home Champions League matches this season and been directly involved in eight goals in the competition so far. If the Portuguese side are to score there’s every chance Marega will be the man and he’s 21/10 to find the net.
Given their respective home and away records in Europe this season and the fact that Liverpool only need to avoid defeat to progress to the semi-finals for a second year in a row, backing a draw at 12/5 could prove to be a lucrative bet.