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Everton vs Chelsea Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Preview – 07/12/19

Any optimism Everton fans drew from the performance at Leicester City last weekend quickly evaporated in a mad forty-five minutes at Anfield. Now they face Chelsea.

The pressure built on Marco Silva with rumours swirling that David Moyes is set to take over the reins at Goodison Park with this fixture expected to be his last in charge. He didn’t last that long.

Chelsea, meanwhile, returned to winning ways at Stamford Bridge, edging past Aston Villa 2 – 1 on Wednesday night to bring their three-match winless streak to an end.

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Before the Blues get too confident, it’s worth remembering that Everton are unbeaten in the last three against Chelsea with the Londoners failing to score.

But Everton have rarely been in such poor shape. Third-bottom in the table, they could sink lower if results go against them this weekend.

And most expect results to do just that, certainly at Goodison Park. Liverpool knocked the stuffing out of them; Chelsea will make the Toffees into turkeys.

David Moyes
David Moyes ready to take over at Everton

Everton vs Chelsea Predictions

Thomas Fuller was the first man to claim “the darkest hour is before the dawn” in 1650. Everton will hope that proves to be the case at around 1415 on Saturday afternoon.

Strong rumours swirled about Marco Silva’s future before the horrible defeat at Anfield; they became a gale-force wind of speculation on the final whistle and within twenty-four hours, the axe fell.

David Moyes is primed. Farhad Moshiri, the club’s owner, addressed the players after training on Thursday. Cue a left-field appointment although Moyes is fairly left-field, to be honest.

Everton are in a rut. One win five (D1, L3) and two wins in 11 (D1, L8) saw them plummet to the relegation zone. Southampton’s win over Norwich in midweek sent the Toffees into the bottom three.

It’s not an entirely unusual situation – 1994, 1998 and 2004 saw them finish 17th – but in recent seasons, the top eight has been a comfortable home for them. Premier League mid-table obscurity seems like a pipedream this season.

Problematically, there is little sign that Goodison Park provides any release from the madness engulfing his players. Home may be where the heart is but three defeats in the last five (W1, D1) is no respite at all.

Defensively, the side struggles to concentrate. Five goals conceded in the second half of their last five home games. In one of those five, Pickford kept a clean sheet in the 2 – 0 win over West Ham United. In total, the Toffees conceded eight goals in total.

The Liverpool match was an anomaly is so many ways. It was Everton’s heaviest defeat of the season, both by margin and goals conceded. Also in the timing; four in the first half? Jordan Pickford had been beaten six times in the previous five games. All six came in the second half.

Chelsea are in relatively good shape, despite a run of one win in four (D1, L2) across all competitions. The Blues sit fourth and took the lessons of the surprising home defeat to West Ham to heart. Aston Villa gave Chelsea pause for thought.

Away from home, Frank Lampard’s Chelsea are the Premier League’s entertainers seeing 33 goals in their seven games so far, the same as Manchester City.

None of their matches away from the Fulham Road has seen under 2.5 goals, with four seeing over 4.5 goals. The last two finished 2 – 1; a win at Watford and defeat against City at the Etihad.

Tammy Abraham grabbed three league goals last month, Christian Pulisic nabbing two. Over the course of the season so far, the pair have seven and four goals respectively in the Premier League away from home.

Against Everton’s porous defence, this good habit points these Everton vs Chelsea predictions toward an away win.

Frank Lampard
Frank Lampard, one of four Premier League managers not facing the sack.

Everton vs Chelsea Head to Head

Chelsea lead the head-to-head with 72 wins to Everton’s 55 with 54 drawn.

It’s been slim pickings for the visiting team in this fixture, be it at Goodison Park or Stamford Bridge. Four of the last five games between the pair saw the away side fail to score, two of which were goalless draws. In the last four on Gwladys Street, only one team has scored on three occasions.

Last season, Chelsea failed to score against Everton. A goalless draw in West London in November was followed by a 2 – 0 win thanks to second-half goals from Richarlison and Gylffi Sigurdsson.

The two sides have met on 7th December on four previous occasions. In 1946 and 1963, the matches at Stamford Bridge and Goodison Park finished 1 – 1. In West London in 1996, it finished 2 – 2 but the last time the sides met on this date, Chelsea romped to a 3 – 1 win on Merseyside in 2002.

Things don’t improve for Everton when they face Chelsea in December. You have to go back to 1977 for the Toffees last win over the Blues in the year’s final month (D7, L7) and at home, it’s 1938 since their last win over Chelsea in December.

Everton Team News

Fabian Delph and Seamus Coleman are the only two of Everton’s walking wounded understood to be close to returning.

Seamus Coleman, Jean-Philippe Gbamin, Andre Gomes and Cuco Martinez are all sidelined for the foreseeable future.

Chelsea Team News

Mario Van Ginkel and Ruben Loftus-Cheek are definitely ruled out.

Ross Barkley and Tammy Abraham are expected to be fit with Antonio Rudiger is in line for a recall having recovered from his groin injury.

Mason Mount
Mason Mount ready to deliver a matchwinner at Goodison Park

Everton vs Chelsea Betting Tips

Everton’s odds of victory improved with the dismissal of Marco Silva with the home side 5/2 to win. Chelsea are clear favourites, however, in the Novibet matchday odds at 53/50 with the draw 27/10.

The last three matches between the two saw the away side fail to score. With Everton’s form, it’s highly unlikely that we’ll see a home clean sheet but if you think it possible, Novibet offers 73/20. An away clean sheet is 43/20. Chelsea’s only away clean sheet this season came in their 1 – 0 win over Amsterdam.

While Tammy Abraham’s odds of 17/20 in the Anytime Goalscorer lists is for the risk-averse, the likes of Christian Pulisic (37/20), Willian (21/10) and Mason Mount (13/5) offer good value. Everton’s Dominic Calvert-Lewin is 9/4 while Gylffi Sigurdsson is 23/10.

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