The 2019 ATP Tour so far has been an unpredictable one. In the 19 tournaments to date, there have been 19 different winners. Of those to triumph, only Roger Federer and Stefanos Tsitsipas have made it as far as the Semi Final stage of another event to the one they’ve won. It makes for good value in the betting markets.
Many eyes will be on World Number One and Miami top seed Novak Djokovic. The Serb was out of sorts when losing in straight sets to Philipp Kohlschreiber at Indian Wells last time out and he’ll need to be much improved here as he begins his tournament against either Bernard Tomic or Tomas Berdych. Win that and there’s the prospect of John Millman before a Quarter Final clash with defending champion John Isner.
Djokovic has previous with this event, winning it on no fewer than six previous occasions. A feat only matched in the modern era by Andre Agassi. The World Number One came into the Indian Wells event last week after a month off and will have no doubt targeted this Florida tournament as a chance to add to his Australian Open title in January.
Both Djokovic and Federer went out of this tournament in their first matches last year but at 13/10 and 67/20 respectively they lead the betting.
One man who will be full of confidence coming into this one is Dominic Thiem The Austrian defeated Federer in the final of the Indian Wells and if all goes to form, the 25-year-old will meet Djokovic in the Semi Finals. But Thiem’s best surface by some distance is clay and he may fall short of following up his success in California with the double. Only Federer, Djokovic and Agassi have managed that.
Federer, defeated in that fiercely contested final to Thiem, will be looking to bounce back in Florida and though he’s in line to face tough challenges from Danil Medvedev and Stan Wawrinka, the Swiss legend should make the Semi Finals.
There the draw has him scheduled to meet second seed Alexander Zverev. However Zverev has been suffering from poor health and a lack of form so far in 2019 and looks in danger of another setback here. World Number 12 Stefanos Tsitsipas is best placed to take advantage. The Greek departed Indian Wells early on but will be well rested for this event and has all the weapons to reproduce the levels he reached during his stunning victory over Roger Federer in the Australian Open 4th Round earlier this year.
At 30/1 to triumph, Tsitsipas represents excellent value and should be considered alongside the much shorter, pre tournament favourite Novak Djokovic.