Saturday lunchtime brings us another live game from the EFL Championship and this one comes from the New Den where Millwall welcome Swansea.
The home side go into the match having just beaten Stoke City 2-1 and haven’t given up hope on their slim chances of finishing among the play off places.
Their visitors however are currently occupying one of those playoff places but are in horrendous form at exactly the wrong time.
Can the Swans save their dying season or will they be fed to the Lions?
|Venue||The New Den|
Millwall host Swansea this Saturday lunchtime as fourth place meets ninth in what look like being a tight and low scoring match.
The Swans are imploding at exactly the wrong moment and desperately need to halt their horrific slide of being winless and goalless in their last four fixtures.
In contrast, the home team have found some form heading into the final run in of the EFL Championship season.
The Lions look like they have left it too late to bag themselves a promotion playoff place but will nevertheless keep going until it is mathematically possible.
They do however need to close an eight points gap to Reading in sixth but have won four of the last five matches so have the momentum going into this fixture unlike their Welsh visitors.
Gary Rowett’s men have a strong home record where they have lost just once in the past eight.
The East Londoners’ last two home matches both finished in 1-0 against Middlesbrough and Rotherham United.
Last time out, Swansea suffered a 1-0 home defeat to Preston North End courtesy of a last minute winner through a Matt Grimes’ own goal as their miserable run continued.
Steve Cooper’s men are not only failing to win right now but they are also failing to score and in the Preston game couldn’t even register one solitary shot on goal.
Now just five points above seventh place Bournemouth, Swansea have suffered defeats in their last two away matches, losing 3-0 to Bournemouth before falling 1-0 to Birmingham and look for all the world like losing this one too.
Millwall V Swansea Head To Head
- Swansea have won six of their last 14 matches against Swansea.
- Millwall, on the other hand, have banked just four victories, while there have been four draws in this fixture.
- Back in October, the Swans recorded a 2-1 win in the reverse fixture.
|Millwall Match Facts|
|Top Scorer||Jed Wallace (9)|
|Leading Assists||Jed Wallace (6)|
|Form Last 5 Matches||W – L – W – W – W|
- The Lions have put together a two game run of 1-0 victories.
- Their opponents in this fixture have gone four matches without registering a goal.
|Swansea Match Facts|
|Top Scorer||André Ayew (14)|
|Leading Assists||Jake Bidwell (7)|
|Form Last 5 Matches||W – L – L – L – L – L|
Millwall Team News
Shaun Hutchinson will miss the rest of the season with an injury sustained against Rotherham starting today.
This means that Alex Pearce is likely to continue making up a makeshift back three.
Maikel Kieftenbeld is in line to make a return in central midfield.
Jon Dadi Bodvarsson is also available to come into the side.
Swansea Team News
Steve Cooper may tweak his struggling line-up in order to get more out of his misfiring forwards.
To that end, Wayne Routledge and ex-Liverpool starlet Yan Dhanda both came on as substitutes in the defeat to Preston and may start.
Aston Villa loanee Conor Hourihane will likely start at The Den.
Millwall V Swansea Betting Tips
The form suggests the a home win is on the cards, albeit a low scoring one. Some NoviBettors may wish to look for the under 2.5 Goals market and we can certainly see why.
Millwall have a scoring average of two goals per game, while Swansea’s is only 1.9.
Only 30% of The Lions EFL Championship games have seen more than 2.5 goals, while Swansea’s equivalent is even worse, breaching that range only 20% of the time.
We still fancy Millwall to win however and will nominate a 2-0 score line.