Third-placed Fulham travel to sixth-placed Swansea City as they look to close the gap on the automatic promotion places in the EFL Championship race.
It’s been a mixed bag for the two clubs in recent times. Swansea’s promotion hopes were dented with just one home win in the last six (D1, L4) and a run of three wins in 10 (D4, L3) overall.
Meanwhile, Fulham recovered from an indifferent spell of form to record three consecutive wins and rise to the cusp of the automatic promotion spots.
Victory pulls Fulham closer to Leeds United and West Bromwich Albion, for a short while at least.
Away from home, however, the Londoners are struggling with just one goal in the last three (W1, D1) so it’s far from clear-cut that they are in the driving seat for victory.
It’s a match neither side can afford to lose but they must both win!
Swansea City vs Fulham Predictions
We have yet to reach the halfway point of the 2019-20 season but both Swansea City and Fulham fans are riding a rollercoaster.
Early season peaks followed by mid-season troughs; both sides want the ride to start rising once more.
Fulham are the more likely to see that at the moment. Three wins in three brought a run of three wins in eleven (D5, L3) to a timely end and saw them rise from 12th to third as they capitalised on others misfortune.
The beauty of their current run has been the number of goalscorers. Six goals in three games, scored by four players, decreasing their reliance upon the prolific Aleksandar Mitrovic.
The Serb has 13 goals in 17 appearances and is one of five strikers at the club to have found the net this season. Even Aboubakar Kamara has got in on the act so Fulham boss Mark Warburton must be doing something right!
But their current success is underpinned by two home wins. Road trips are still proving to be a minefield for the men from Stevenage Road.
Three wins and three draws seems impressive enough away from home, but dropped points all came in games where more was expected.
Strugglers Stoke City and Barnsley both took maximum points from the Cottagers while trips to Cardiff City, Sheffield Wednesday and Middlesbrough ought to have yielded more than the points they brought.
There is some reassurance to be had from the fact that Fulham have dropped just four points from winning positions this season. Equally, their resilience, questioned for a while, is evident in the seven points collected from losing positions.
In some ways, their unpredictability works in their favour; Swansea won’t know which Fulham will turn up.
They could do with the insipid version which lost heavily at home to Hull City earlier this month. Steve Cooper’s side are without a win in three (D2, L1) from matches where a greater return seemed likely.
Confidence is fragile in South Wales, despite the derby win over Cardiff City. Ben Wilmot’s goal ended another run of three games without a win (D1, L2) where more was expected. That was their only home win in five (D1, L3).
It certainly seems that the Autumn has seen Swansea crumble just as they threaten to improve and build a promotion bid.
A quick glance at the Goals For column of the Championship table answers most questions about where Swansea’s problems lie.
They are the lowest scorers in the current top six with 23 goals (14th best in the division) which combined with 18 conceded gives them the worst goal difference in the promotion places. At home, they have scored and conceded 11; the Liberty Stadium is hardly a fortress.
Top-scorer this season is Borja Baston with six, all scored before the end of September. Andre Ayew (4) picked up the baton when the Spaniard began his goal drought.
While Cooper will be pleased that a dozen of his squad has scored this season, the lack of a consistent striker may cost them dearly come the season’s end.
Fulham have yet to get stuck into their promotion rivals but results in their two games were inauspicious (D1, L1). Swansea, by contrast, seemed well-equipped for the games until Brentford dismantled them 3 – 0 in South Wales (W2, D1).
It’s a tough game to call with the form book dictating an away win and the draw looking the best outcome for Swansea.
Swansea City vs Fulham Head to Head
This is the 66th meeting of the two teams with Fulham ahead 31 wins to 24, with only 10 drawn.
The two clubs yo-yo between divisions and it’s been nearly six years since they last met, Swansea winning a Premier League clash 2 – 0 at the Liberty Stadium in January 2014.
It marked the end of a period of domination by the Welsh club, winning five of the six meetings in the top flight. Fulham’s only success came in 2013 when they won 3 – 0 at Swansea.
None of the previous sixty-five meetings finished in a goalless draw.
Swansea City Team News
Mike van der Hoorn is the latest injury doubt for the Swans after he left the field limping following a nasty tackle at Huddersfield in midweek. It adds to Steve Cooper’s defensive woes with Joe Rodon out until next year.
Aldo Kalulu may be included on the bench after recovering from an ankle injury suffered against Preston in August.
Fulham Team News
Both Bobby Reid (hamstring) and Aboubakar Kamara (ankle) limped out of the 3 – 0 midweek demolition of Derby County although the latter is the more serious of the two.
Anthony Knockaert is the likely replacement for either if they fail to recover.
Swansea City vs Fulham Betting Tips
Form gives Fulham the edge in the Novibet Matchday odds. The visitors are 7/5 with Swansea City’s home advantage seeing them at 19/10, 12/5 the draw.
Fulham have been among the goals recently but Swansea City are struggling. However, the London side has scored more than one goal only twice in the last ten away games, a run which includes four blanks.
The offer of 109/100 for Under 2.5 Goals in the Under/Overs market looks a relatively safe bet.
With both teams’ promotion ambitions on the line, this looks like being a close match with a one-goal winning margin by either team an attractive 7/5.